SD1 Figures — RiskyMAD Model and Nuclear Winter Forecast Diagrams#

8 figure PDFs supporting SD1 — Nuclear Winter Forecast — the quantitative backbone of the Good News Pack.

— Overview AI-generated by dv_ClaOp46_ExhD_2026m04d14 —Start—

This folder contains 8 single-page figures referenced by the SD1 nuclear winter poster. They are grouped into three sets: the RiskyMAD model overview diagrams, the nuclear winter forecast simulations, and the self-stabilizing innovation versioning concept.

RiskyMAD Model Overview#

RiskyMAD/MADI decision overview — boxed version

RiskyMAD/MADI Decision Overview (Boxed)

VVN: iv_llol_qqv2_2026m03d01 | 1 page
Jonah License with CC0 Public Domain

PDF (40 KB) · WebP (20 KB)

Filename: model-risky-mad-or-madi-decision-overview-iv_llol_qqv2_2026m03d01-fig-box.pdf
RiskyMAD/MADI decision overview — white background

RiskyMAD/MADI Decision Overview (White)

VVN: iv_llol_qqv2_2026m03d01 | 1 page
Jonah License with CC0 Public Domain

PDF (32 KB) · WebP (56 KB)

Filename: model-risky-mad-or-madi-decision-overview-iv_llol_qqv2_2026m03d01-fig-white.pdf
RiskyMAD overview — earlier version

RiskyMAD Overview (Earlier Version)

VVN: iv_llol_qqv5r0p0_2025m05d18 | 1 page
Jonah License with CC0 Public Domain

PDF (28 KB) · WebP (16 KB)

Filename: model-risky-mad-overview-iv_llol_qqv5r0p0_2025m05d18-fig.pdf

Nuclear Winter Forecast Figures#

Forecast — escape nuclear winter via MADI ResearchCity (horizontal boxed)

Forecast: Escape Nuclear Winter via MADI ResearchCity (Horizontal Boxed)

VVN: iv_llol_qqv2_2026m03d02 | 1 page
Jonah License with CC0 Public Domain

PDF (172 KB) · WebP (132 KB)

Filename: forecast-escape-nuke-winter-madi-researchcity-iv_llol_qqv2_2026m03d02-fig-box-horiz.pdf
Forecast — escape nuclear winter via MADI ResearchCity (vertical boxed)

Forecast: Escape Nuclear Winter via MADI ResearchCity (Vertical Boxed)

VVN: iv_llol_qqv2_2026m03d02 | 1 page
Jonah License with CC0 Public Domain

PDF (172 KB) · WebP (104 KB)

Filename: forecast-escape-nuke-winter-madi-researchcity-iv_llol_qqv2_2026m03d02-fig-box-vert.pdf
Forecast — escape nuclear winter via MADI ResearchCity (white background)

Forecast: Escape Nuclear Winter via MADI ResearchCity (White)

VVN: iv_llol_qqv2_2026m03d02 | 1 page
Jonah License with CC0 Public Domain

PDF (172 KB) · WebP (104 KB)

Filename: forecast-escape-nuke-winter-madi-researchcity-iv_llol_qqv2_2026m03d02-fig-white.pdf
Forecast — MAD nuclear winter stochastic inevitability (Michaelis-Menten)

Forecast: MAD Nuclear Winter Stochastic Inevitability (Michaelis-Menten)

VVN: iv_llol_qqv2_2026m03d02 | 1 page
Jonah License with CC0 Public Domain

PDF (172 KB) · WebP (100 KB)

Filename: forecast-mad-nuke-winter-stochastic-inevitability-michaelis-menten-iv_llol_qqv2_2026m03d02-fig.pdf

Self-Stabilizing Innovation#

Self-stabilizing innovation versioning averts self-destruction

Self-Stabilizing Innovation Versioning Averts Self-Destruction

VVN: iv_llol_qqv2_2026m03d02 | 1 page
Jonah License with CC0 Public Domain

PDF (292 KB) · WebP (260 KB)

Filename: self-stab-innov-versioning-averts-self-destruction-iv_llol_qqv2_2026m03d02-page.pdf

— Overview AI-generated by dv_ClaOp46_ExhD_2026m04d14 —End—

Notes

Content stability — Content is variant dv_ClaOp46_ExhD_2026m04d14 (see StayVS). Rebuilt 2026-05-18.

Expert Review Needed: Help Assess This Research and Its AI Overview

This page makes accessible one document from LLoL’s 6+ year wid-e research marathon on existential risk and ResearchCity. The PDF linked above is the original work; this page provides an overview.

The original research needs expert review. Download the PDF and bring your expertise to bear — whether you are a scientist, policy maker, theologian, peace activist, or concerned citizen. This research aims to find gentle kind reasonable ways to solve existential problems. Your perspective matters for assessing whether it succeeds.

The AI overview (see the markers) may need correction. AI may have blindly twisted the original message by emphasizing other aspects than the author would have. Important nuances may thus be missed or misrepresented. If you spot errors, missing context, or misplaced emphasis, your corrections help every future reader.

Despite all potential shortcomings of AI, AI was still used here because not saying anything about this document would have been even worse. A race against existential risks is not nuanced. Neither can be the determination to do the right thing - and get the word out to get help.

LLoL is determined to ask for such help. Hence this website to give the world a fair chance at exploring and reviewing LLoL’s ideas.

Use the FeedbackFlow link below to send your review — whether it concerns the original PDF, the AI overview, or both.

LLoL may drown for a while in the FF invited, but if people are indeed interested in making this work and avert accidental nuclear winter, then LLoL predicts that enough people will be happy to pay the about $8/year/person it will take to start scaling up ResearchCity, in order to help with the proper review of such wid-e research proposals for global decision-support like this one.

Hence, please consider that your buy-in with about $8/year will help to shift the global game from a so-called prisoner’s dilemma to an assurance game with the help of mathematical theology.

This work requires global support to avoid capture by special interests. Refining complex posters, engaging scholars across traditions, and running formal consistency checks all require sustained effort — as does scaling up a ResearchCity for global FeedbackFlows.

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