OL5 — Open Letter to UN Secretary-General António Guterres: Please Help Avert Accidental Nuclear Winter

A cover letter (OL5a, 2 pages) with a detailed UN Mandate draft (OL5b, 28 pages) — seeking ResearchCity as a UN-supported institution.

Read the in-depth exhibit pages

• OL5a — Cover Letter (2 pages) — introduces the nuclear winter finding, requests help reaching the 10 Nuclear Kings

• OL5b — UN Mandate Draft (28 pages) — detailed institutional design for ResearchCity as a UN-supported institution

Download the original documents (PDF)

OL5a Cover Letter — PDF (88 KB) — 2 pages, Jonah License with CC0 Public Domain · Exhibit page

OL5b Detailed Letter — PDF — 28 pages (UN Mandate draft for ResearchCity) · Exhibit page

Filename: open-letter-ol5a-iv_llol_qqv4_2025m12d03-2page.pdf

WebP preview (232 KB)

Also in this folder: AIPTO Canary Rules (attachment) · Exhibit page

— Overview AI-generated by dv_ClaOp46Max_MMv2_2026m04d02 —Start—

Abstract

Open Letter OL5 consists of two parts: OL5a (2-page cover letter) and OL5b (28-page detailed letter drafting steps toward a UN Mandate for ResearchCity). Both are addressed to UN Secretary-General António Guterres, dated 2025-11-25.

OL5a introduces the core argument: LLoL, as an expert computer modeler of complex evolving biosystems, found “by accident or divine providence” a method to calculate actuarial probabilities for accidental nuclear winter using his open RiskyMAD model (SD1). The key finding: “I am more likely to die in accidental nuclear winter than by car crash.”

The letter frames the Flying Scroll exhibit as “Earth’s Titanic Command Bridge” — a set of ~20-80+ posters that urgently help leaders navigate around existential “icebergs.” LLoL discovered common patterns across diverse existential disasters, suggesting that solutions can be shared across problems by leveraging big-tech economies of scale.

LLoL proposes scaling up LinkSpaces for informal Flying University Networks that support wid-e research, coordinated through a global ResearchCity. The vision: transform “post-truth” society into a “pre-truth” society through a 2nd Exodus — by “daring to join Truth.”

The cover letter asks the Secretary-General to:

• Pre-review the Flying Scroll exhibit in person

• Help LLoL reach all 10 Nuclear Kings

• Support a UN Mandate for ResearchCity (detailed in OL5b)

• Advocate for the Nuclear Kings to receive the Nobel Peace Prize if they hold their weapons and let ResearchCity scale up

LLoL closes: “I beg for my life like Queen Esther: please give me a chance to answer any questions in person.”

OL5b (28 pages, not fully summarized here) expands these arguments into a detailed draft for institutional implementation, including ResearchCity governance, AIPTO integration, and the Great Jubilee Race framework.

Key Concepts at a Glance

UN Mandate	Proposed formal UN backing for ResearchCity as an institution for global disaster-averting research (detailed in OL5b)
Titanic Command Bridge	Metaphor for the Flying Scroll exhibit: the navigation station from which existential icebergs can be spotted and avoided
LinkSpaces	Informal spaces for Flying University Networks supporting wid-e research — the basic infrastructure for ResearchCity
Datageddon	Data confusions that trigger disasters (“at Armageddon”) — what ResearchCity’s gentle kind reasonable policies aim to avert
Pre-truth society	LLoL’s proposed successor to “post-truth” — a society that dares to join Truth via a 2nd Exodus from knowledge-faking
Queen Esther	LLoL frames his appeal as parallel to Esther’s plea for her people’s survival before the king

Broader Significance (Claude’s Assessment)

OL5 is the most institutionally oriented letter, targeting the UN as the natural home for a global coordination mechanism.

1. The UN as venue. By seeking a “UN Mandate,” LLoL positions ResearchCity within existing international governance structures rather than proposing an entirely new institution from scratch.

2. OL5b scale. At 28 pages, OL5b is the longest single document in the Open Letter series, suggesting the UN version of the proposal contains the most detailed institutional design work.

3. The “datageddon” concept. Framing data-driven confusion as an Armageddon-level threat connects AI safety, misinformation, and nuclear risk into a single framework addressable by one institution.

Document Information

Document ID	OL5 (OL5a: cover letter; OL5b: detailed UN Mandate draft)
Full title	Breaking: Please help avert accidental nuclear winter
From	Laurence Loewe of Laodicea (LLoL), DARL
To	UN Secretary-General António Guterres
Date	2025-11-25
Version	iv_LLoL_QQv4r1p2_2025m11d25+
Format	OL5a: 2-page cover letter; OL5b: 28-page detailed letter
License	Jonah License with CC0 Public Domain
Part of	Good News Pack MMv3, Open Letters collection
PDF size	OL5a: 88 KB; OL5b: see folder
WebP size	232 KB (OL5a)

Related documents in the Good News Pack:

• OL1 — Open Letter to US Presidents & All

• OL10 — to 10 Nuclear Kings

• SD1 — Avert nuclear winter

• All other Open Letters (OL0–OL10)

— Overview AI-generated by dv_ClaOp46Max_MMv2_2026m04d02 —End—

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Notes

Content stability — Content is variant dv_ClaOp46Max_MMv2_2026m04d02 (see StayVS). Rebuilt 2026-05-18.

Expert Review Needed: Help Assess This Research and Its AI Overview

This page makes accessible one document from LLoL’s 6+ year wid-e research marathon on existential risk and ResearchCity. The PDF linked above is the original work; this page provides an overview.

The original research needs expert review. Download the PDF and bring your expertise to bear — whether you are a scientist, policy maker, theologian, peace activist, or concerned citizen. This research aims to find gentle kind reasonable ways to solve existential problems. Your perspective matters for assessing whether it succeeds.

The AI overview (see the markers) may need correction. AI may have blindly twisted the original message by emphasizing other aspects than the author would have. Important nuances may thus be missed or misrepresented. If you spot errors, missing context, or misplaced emphasis, your corrections help every future reader.

Despite all potential shortcomings of AI, AI was still used here because not saying anything about this document would have been even worse. A race against existential risks is not nuanced. Neither can be the determination to do the right thing - and get the word out to get help.

LLoL is determined to ask for such help. Hence this website to give the world a fair chance at exploring and reviewing LLoL’s ideas.

Use the FeedbackFlow link below to send your review — whether it concerns the original PDF, the AI overview, or both.

LLoL may drown for a while in the FF invited, but if people are indeed interested in making this work and avert accidental nuclear winter, then LLoL predicts that enough people will be happy to pay the about $8/year/person it will take to start scaling up ResearchCity, in order to help with the proper review of such wid-e research proposals for global decision-support like this one.

Hence, please consider that your buy-in with about $8/year will help to shift the global game from a so-called prisoner’s dilemma to an assurance game with the help of mathematical theology.

This work requires global support to avoid capture by special interests. Refining complex posters, engaging scholars across traditions, and running formal consistency checks all require sustained effort — as does scaling up a ResearchCity for global FeedbackFlows.

Let’s hope it’s not too late to fund this work!

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