OL5a — Cover Letter to UN Secretary-General: Please Help Avert Accidental Nuclear Winter

The 2-page cover letter that introduces OL5b’s 28-page UN Mandate draft for ResearchCity.

Download the original document (PDF)

OL5a Cover Letter — PDF (88 KB) — 2 pages, Jonah License with CC0 Public Domain

Filename: open-letter-ol5a-iv_llol_qqv4_2025m12d03-2page.pdf

WebP preview (232 KB)

Also in this folder: OL5b Detailed Letter (28 pages) · AIPTO Canary Rules (20 pages)

— Overview AI-generated by dv_ClaOp46Max_ExhG_2026m04d16 —Start—

Abstract

OL5a is the 2-page cover letter addressed to UN Secretary-General António Guterres, dated 2025m11d25. It serves as the entry point to OL5b, the 28-page detailed UN Mandate draft for ResearchCity.

Page 1 opens with thanks for the Secretary-General’s patience and introduces the core argument: LLoL, an expert computer modeler of complex evolving biosystems, found “by accident or by divine providence” a method to calculate actuarial probabilities for accidental nuclear winter using his open “RiskyMAD” model (described in Supporting Document SD1). The key finding: “I am more likely to die in accidental nuclear winter than by car crash.”

LLoL’s work on averting rare disasters revealed common patterns across all complex existential disasters, suggesting solutions can be shared across problems by leveraging big tech economies of scale. He proposes scaling up LinkSpaces for informal Flying University Networks that support wid-e research (wide interdisciplinary diversity-encouraging), coordinated through a global ResearchCity — gentle, kind, reasonable policies to avert the data confusions (“datageddon”) that trigger disasters.

Page 2 describes the vision: transform “post-truth” society into a “pre-truth” society via a 2nd Exodus — daring to join Truth. LLoL explains why the vision “can’t be described in words” and requires experiencing his ~20–80+ poster exhibit “Flying Scroll” in person. He frames his mission through the exhibit, his Open Letters (OL0–OL10), and his life’s mission of reaching the UN.

The letter closes with four specific requests:

1. Pre-review the Flying Scroll exhibit in person

2. Help LLoL reach all 10 Nuclear Kings of Earth

3. Support a UN Mandate for ResearchCity (detailed in OL5b)

4. Advocate for the Nuclear Kings to receive the Nobel Prize Peace if they hold their weapons and let ResearchCity scale up

LLoL closes: “I beg for my life like Queen Esther: please give me a chance to answer any questions in person.”

Broader Significance (Claude’s Assessment)

1. Cover letter as gateway. OL5a distills the 28-page OL5b argument into 2 pages, recognizing that a head of state needs a rapid assessment of whether to invest time in the longer document. The cover letter’s job is to establish credibility (RiskyMAD model), create urgency (nuclear winter probability), and make a specific ask (pre-review meeting).

2. The Queen Esther framing. By explicitly comparing his situation to Esther’s plea before the king (Esther 7), LLoL signals both the urgency and the personal vulnerability of his appeal — he is asking for survival, not influence.

3. “Pre-truth” as reframing. The term “pre-truth society” inverts “post-truth” from a description of decay into a call for renewal. Rather than lamenting what was lost, it proposes something to build toward.

Key Concepts at a Glance

RiskyMAD	Stochastic model forecasting accidental nuclear winter; shows death-by-nuclear-winter more likely than death-by-car-crash
Flying Scroll	~20–80+ poster exhibit framed as “Earth’s Titanic Command Bridge” for navigating existential risks
LinkSpaces	Informal spaces for Flying University Networks supporting wid-e research — basic infrastructure for ResearchCity
Pre-truth society	Proposed successor to “post-truth” via a 2nd Exodus from knowledge-faking to Truth
Queen Esther	LLoL frames his appeal as parallel to Esther’s plea for survival before the king

Document Information

Document ID	OL5a (Cover Letter)
Full title	Breaking: Please help avert accidental nuclear winter
From	Laurence Loewe of Laodicea (LLoL), DARL
To	UN Secretary-General António Guterres
Date	2025m11d25
Version	iv_LLoL_QQv4r1p2_2025m11d25+
Format	2-page cover letter
License	Jonah License with CC0 Public Domain
Part of	Good News Pack MMv3, Open Letters collection, OL5 folder
PDF size	88 KB
WebP size	232 KB

Related documents in the Good News Pack:

• OL5b — Detailed UN Mandate Draft (28 pages)

• OL5 — Folder Overview

• AIPTO Canary Rules (OL5 attachment)

• SD1 — Nuclear Winter Forecast

• SD2 — Epiocracy

— Overview AI-generated by dv_ClaOp46Max_ExhG_2026m04d16 —End—

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Notes

Content stability — Content is variant dv_ClaOp46Max_ExhG_2026m04d16 (see StayVS). Rebuilt 2026-05-18.

Expert Review Needed: Help Assess This Research and Its AI Overview

This page makes accessible one document from LLoL’s 6+ year wid-e research marathon on existential risk and ResearchCity. The PDF linked above is the original work; this page provides an overview.

The original research needs expert review. Download the PDF and bring your expertise to bear — whether you are a scientist, policy maker, theologian, peace activist, or concerned citizen. This research aims to find gentle kind reasonable ways to solve existential problems. Your perspective matters for assessing whether it succeeds.

The AI overview (see the markers) may need correction. AI may have blindly twisted the original message by emphasizing other aspects than the author would have. Important nuances may thus be missed or misrepresented. If you spot errors, missing context, or misplaced emphasis, your corrections help every future reader.

Despite all potential shortcomings of AI, AI was still used here because not saying anything about this document would have been even worse. A race against existential risks is not nuanced. Neither can be the determination to do the right thing - and get the word out to get help.

LLoL is determined to ask for such help. Hence this website to give the world a fair chance at exploring and reviewing LLoL’s ideas.

Use the FeedbackFlow link below to send your review — whether it concerns the original PDF, the AI overview, or both.

LLoL may drown for a while in the FF invited, but if people are indeed interested in making this work and avert accidental nuclear winter, then LLoL predicts that enough people will be happy to pay the about $8/year/person it will take to start scaling up ResearchCity, in order to help with the proper review of such wid-e research proposals for global decision-support like this one.

Hence, please consider that your buy-in with about $8/year will help to shift the global game from a so-called prisoner’s dilemma to an assurance game with the help of mathematical theology.

This work requires global support to avoid capture by special interests. Refining complex posters, engaging scholars across traditions, and running formal consistency checks all require sustained effort — as does scaling up a ResearchCity for global FeedbackFlows.

Let’s hope it’s not too late to fund this work!

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